Kaasaegne teaduslik mõtlemine ja filosoofilised meetodid
If H, then O
O
Therefore, (Probably) H
Problem: This is a simplified account: confirmation is not verification. No matter how many times I
confirm a hypothesis, it might still be false.
Confirmation gives only probable truth.
Confirmation (The piece does not fit)
What is disconfirmation?
We predict observations (O) that are consequent to a hypothesis (H).
If the predictions turn out to be incorrect, they disconfirm the hypothesis.
If H, then O
Not O
Therefore, Not H.
Problem: This is a simplified account: disconfirmation is not necessarily falsification.
Tests involve Auxiliary hypotheses (A1, A2, …, An) that are generally unstated.
If H and A1 and A2, ...and An, then O
Not O
Therefore, Not H or not A1, or not A2… or not An.
When prediction fails, the hypothesis might still be saved. It is not clear when the hypothesis has to be
annaabi.ee 
